Denman's Betting Journal: Saturday's Action

First Premiership game I'm going to focus on is Arsenal vs Burnley. Was really impressed by Arsenal spirit to come from behind to beat Stoke, and more so to stay mental focused after that horrific injury that Ramsey suffered in the game. I think Arsenal are real title contenders now, that's represented in my long-term bets (which I've added to the side part of my blog).

Burnley on the other hand have been nothing short of dreadful away from home, their only baway point came in a freak match against Man City that ended 3-3. Burnley started the season well but the pressures of the Premiership are starting to take its toll and even their home form is starting to dip after they lost to rock-bottom Portsmouth last time out.

Can't see past an Arsenal runaway win here, but not a fan of taking really short odds on the outright Arsenal win so I've gone for a few bets that offer value. Burnley gave away two penalties in their last match and are likely to find it hard against Arsenal attacking threats, wouldn't be suprised to see them concede another penalty here. Think Fabregas is good value to score anytime especially since he's the Arsenal penalty taker.

Arsenal v Burnley tips:
Arsenal to win both halves @ 2.00 (PaddyPower)
Cesc Fabregas Anytime Goalscorer @ 2.38 (Boylesport)
Total GoaL Line: 0ver 3 goals @ 2.00 (Bet 365)

West Ham v Bolton, sees two teams in high spirits after pulling themselves away from the relegation zone for the time being at least. West Ham have won their last two at home whilst Bolton secured a very important win last time out at home to Wolves. Games at Upton Park have seen lots of goals this season and Bolton have been leaking a lot of goals away from home. All set up for a few goals in this one in my opinion. Will take a bit of insurance on the Over 2 goals instead of over 2.5.

West Ham v Bolton tip:

Over 2 goals @ 2.00 (Stan James)

Onto the FA Cup next. Portsmouth winners back in 2008 take on Birmingham in the first of the quarter finals. Since then there's been ownership musical chairs and the shocking true extent of Pompey's financial difficulties came to life, they went into voluntary administration last week and are set to be docked nine points for this, ending any hope of Premiership survival in the process. In someways then this is the only competition Portsmouth have got to look forward to for the rest of this season. The Fratton Park crowd will certainly be behind the team for this one and I can't see them getting beat after that morale boasting win against Burnley in the league last weekend.