Sunday, 18 April 2010

Champions League Matches

Inter Milan v Barcelona

Two teams who progressed impressively in the last round. Barcelona saw off Arsenal with relative ease whilst Inter Milan proved too strong for CSKA Moscow. It's also worth remembering Inter Milan knocked out Chelsea in the previous round after a very composed performance at Stamford Bridge.

Think this will be a much sterner test for Barcelona than Arsenal was, the Italians will try and stop Barcelona playing their normal game and try and reduce their attacking threat. These two met in the group stages and played out a goaless draw. Inter Milan will desperatley not want to concede an away goal and will play with caution in the opening parts of the game I would have thought.

Don't usually like going unders in games involving Barcelona but with it being such a crucial match between two big sides I think there will be tension ad I expect a tight match. Like I've mentioned it will be a big blow if Inter concede an away goal and I think they'll be more than happy to keep the game close and try and nick one going forward and I see unders as a good option here.

Tip:
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (SportingBet)


Bayern Munich v Lyon
Bayern Munich shocked last year's finalist Man Utd with a superb comeback to score two goals after going 3-0 down on the night to go through on away goals. Although truth be told Bayern were totally out played for the first 45minutes of that game and the sending off of Fabio really changed the game in the favour of Bayern. Although fair play to them they piled on the pressure and moved the ball around and Robben's beautiful strike was worthy of winning any football match.

Lyon progressed against fellow french side Bordeaux to book their place in the semi-final. They won the game in a superb display at home and held out well in the away leg. Lyon are seasoned Champions League and despite all the personal changes they always strike me as a very professional team and know what it takes to win important Champions League matches. They knocked Real Madrid out it can't be forgotten by securing a 1-1 in Madrid. True they rode their luck a bit along the way but it takes a good side to progress against that calibre of opponent. They also secured an away win at Anfield in the group stage, which is a very difficult ground to visit in Europe.

Think there isn't too much difference between the two sides and I think Lyon could easily sneak a draw or even a win in Munich, It won't be easy Bayern are very good at home but Lyon's Champions League experience should stand them in good stead here and they are capable of causing Bayern's defense some problems.

I also feel obilged to take the overs here, both sides are naturally attacking and thier last meeting in the Champions League (2008) saw 5 goals. I think the price currentley avaiable at evens is good value, as I can see this being an open game.

Tip:
Lyon (+0.75) @ 1.92 (Bet365)
Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 (PaddyPower)

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